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The RMB exchange rate is expected to appreciate again at the end of the year. The research team of the Financial Market Department of Agricultural Bank of China said that the market transactions have shown obvious narrative-driven characteristics in recent years. Considering some recent changes, the RMB exchange rate is expected to stabilize and rebound again in the future. First, the pricing of Trump transactions in the international market has come to an end. Second, there has been a major shift in domestic macro policies. Since late September, financial policies such as lowering the RRR, cutting interest rates, supporting the stock market and the real estate market, and fiscal debt measures have boosted market confidence. Third, there has been a favorable change in supply and demand in the domestic foreign exchange market. The end of the year is the traditional peak season for enterprises to settle foreign exchange, and the continuous forward discount will lead to the backlog of foreign exchange settlement, which will further amplify the demand for foreign exchange settlement at the end of the year. Further considering the overall situation of the game between China and the United States, Trump's return not only means the enhancement of external shocks, but also the upgrading of internal policies. The RMB exchange rate will maintain two-way fluctuations next year, and it is no longer a steady profit for enterprises to hold US dollars and postpone foreign exchange settlement. While stabilizing domestic foreign trade and foreign investment, continuing to expand high-level opening-up and expanding domestic demand in an all-round way implies the certainty of economic stabilization and recovery, which is expected to promote the return of short-term securities investment and medium-and long-term direct investment and help the RMB stop falling and rebound.Nordic United Bank: The risk of the European Central Bank cutting interest rates by 50 basis points cannot be ignored. Nordic United Bank said that the European Central Bank may cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, but there is also a significant risk of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. The differences within the Committee have intensified again, and it is not easy for Lagarde to get another consistent compromise. A possible compromise is to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, and at the same time, some guidelines are given, indicating that as long as the ECB's benchmark view remains unchanged, it may cut interest rates again in January. Our benchmark expectation is still to cut interest rates by 25 basis points before the meeting in April next year, when the deposit interest rate is expected to reach 2.25%.The second "Standards Week" of the National Network Security Standardization Technical Committee was held in Haikou in 2024, and the second "Standards Week" of the National Network Security Standardization Technical Committee (referred to as "Network Security Standardization Committee") was held in Haikou City, Hainan Province from December 8 to 11, 2024. Wang Jingtao, deputy director of the Central Network Information Office, deputy director of the National Network Information Office and chairman of the Network Security Standards Committee, pointed out that standards should help data security governance and supervision, speed up the development of standards such as data classification and classification protection requirements and compliance audit of personal information protection, and ensure the safe and orderly flow of data. It is necessary to lead the safe and orderly development of new technologies and applications such as artificial intelligence with standards and norms, accelerate the development and release of standards such as "Identification Method of Synthetic Content Generated by Artificial Intelligence", strengthen the research on relevant network security standards such as intelligent networked vehicles and autonomous driving, and effectively escort the safe development of emerging future industries.

Treasury futures turned green for 30 years, and treasury futures turned down. The 30-year main contracts turned green and fell by 0.03% to 116.94. The 10-year main contract was reported at 108.17, and the increase narrowed to 0.02%.Zhongyuan Expressway: The toll revenue in November was 373 million yuan. Zhongyuan Expressway announced that the toll revenue in November 2024 was 373 million yuan.IEA Monthly Report: The daily output of the refinery will reach the annual peak of 84.3 million barrels in December. It is estimated that in 2024, the daily output of the refinery will increase by 520,000 barrels to an average of 82.7 million barrels per day. It is estimated that in 2025, the daily output of refineries will increase by 620,000 barrels to an average of 83.3 million barrels per day.

Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. The Party Committee of China Securities Regulatory Commission decided that Comrade Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. Comrade Wang Fenghai no longer serves as deputy secretary and general manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. (website of last issue)Dashengda and Tuopai Shede Group set up investment partnerships. According to the enterprise search APP, Sichuan Fujiang Yingke Investment Partnership (Limited Partnership) was recently established with a capital contribution of 200 million yuan. Its business scope includes: asset management services invested by its own funds; Enterprise management consulting; Information technology consulting service. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the enterprise is jointly held by Dashengda and Sichuan Tuopai Shede Group Co., Ltd..Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: It aims to stabilize the inflation rate at 0-2%. We can tolerate inflation temporarily below the target range of 0-2%.